利用最优正则化方法确定Tikhonov正则化参数   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

胡志刚  花向红 《测绘科学》2010,35(2):51-53

基于均方误差最小意义下运用最优正则化方法确定正则参数,推导了计算最优正则参数的公式,并结合算例分析比较了求解病态方程的L-曲线法、GCV法等常用的方法,算例表明,基于最小均方误差的Tikhonov正则化参数优化选取方法是一种可行有效的方法。  相似文献   

基于无线电探空的武汉大气加权平均温度模型研究     

王勇  杨彬云  刘严萍  胡小刚  柳林涛  许厚泽 《测绘科学》2010,35(2):112-113,108

以武汉地区为例,本文推导无线电探空推导的大气加权平均温度模型并对其可靠性进行检验。采用武汉无线电探空数据推算武汉地区的大气加权平均温度计算模型,以此模型计算GPS可降水量,通过与无线电探空结果比较来检验该模型的精确度。在WHDH站GPS可降水量与无线电探空的比较中,两者差值的均方根为3.0mm,两者的相关性达到了0.952。利用中国地壳运动监测网络2002年武汉站GPS数据和武汉地区大气加权平均温度模型推算的可降水量与无线电探空比较,GPS可降水量与无线电探空可降水量在数值上和发展趋势上比较接近,说明了无线电探空的大气加权平均温度模型的可靠性。  相似文献   

Importance of no‐rain measurements on the comparison of radar and rain gauge rain rate     

Chulsang Yoo  Kyoungjun Kim  Jeongho Choi  Eunho Ha 《水文研究》2010,24(7):924-933

This study evaluated four possible cases of comparing radar and rain gauge rain rate for the detection of mean‐field bias. These four cases, or detection designs, consider in this study are: (1) design 1‐uses all the data sets available, including zero radar rain rate and zero rain gauge rain rate, (2) design 2—uses the data sets of positive radar rain rate and zero or positive rain gauge rain rate, (3) design 3—uses the data sets of zero or positive radar rain rate and positive rain gauge rain rate and (4) design 4—uses the data sets of positive radar rain rate and positive rain gauge rain rate. A theoretical review of these four detection designs showed that only the design 1 causes no design bias, but designs 2, 3 and 4 can cause positive, negative and negative design biases, respectively. This theoretical result was also verified by applying these four designs to the rain rate field generated by a multi‐dimensional rain rate model, as well as to that of the Mt Gwanak radar in Korea. The results from both applications showed that especially the design 4, which is generally used for the detection of mean‐field bias of radar rain rate, causes a serious design bias; therefore, is inappropriate as a design for detecting the mean‐field bias of radar rain rate. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Towards a comprehensive approach to parameter estimation in land surface parameterization schemes     

Rafael Rosolem  Hoshin V. Gupta  W. James Shuttleworth  Luis Gustavo Gonçalves de Gonçalves  Xubin Zeng 《水文研究》2013,27(14):2075-2097

In climate models, the land–atmosphere interactions are described numerically by land surface parameterization (LSP) schemes. The continuing improvement in realism in these schemes comes at the expense of the need to specify a large number of parameters that are either directly measured or estimated. Also, an emerging problem is whether the relationships used in LSPs are universal and globally applicable. One plausible approach to evaluate this is to first minimize uncertainty in model parameters by calibration. In this paper, we conduct a comprehensive analysis of some model diagnostics using a slightly modified version of the Simple Biosphere 3 model for a variety of biomes located mainly in the Amazon. First, the degree of influence of each individual parameter in simulating surface fluxes is identified. Next, we estimate parameters using a multi‐operator genetic algorithm applied in a multi‐objective context and evaluate simulations of energy and carbon fluxes against observations. Compared with the default parameter sets, these parameter estimates improve the partitioning of energy fluxes in forest and cropland sites and provide better simulations of daytime increases in assimilation of net carbon during the dry season at forest sites. Finally, a detailed assessment of the parameter estimation problem was performed by accounting for the decomposition of the mean squared error to the total model uncertainty. Analysis of the total prediction uncertainty reveals that the parameter adjustments significantly improve reproduction of the mean and variability of the flux time series at all sites and generally remove seasonality of the errors but do not improve dynamical properties. Our results demonstrate that error decomposition provides a meaningful and intuitive way to understand differences in model performance. To make further advancements in the knowledge of these models, we encourage the LSP community to adopt similar approaches in the future. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

基于GIS的化学品管道输送监控预警系统研究与开发     

王婧  赵冬泉  王浩正  罗睿 《测绘软科学研究》2010,(6):66-71

管道输送以其效率高、成本低等优势在化工企业与园区中得到广泛应用。管道输送的规范管理和安全监控是管道高效安全运行的基础保障。本研究根据天津临港工业区管廊数据管理和管道泄漏检测的实际需求,设计开发了化学品管道输送监控预警系统,将GIS技术和泄漏检测模型有机集成,实现了数据的统一管理和综合查询、管道运行的远程监控和管道泄漏检测及空间定位等功能,可有效提高管廊系统日常管理效率和事故决策分析水平。系统以＂方案＂的形式组织管理所有数据,可适用于其他地区管廊的监控管理,具有较好的可推广性。  相似文献   

Noah-MP模型中积雪模拟对参数化方案的敏感性评估     

尤元红  黄春林  张莹  侯金亮 《地球科学进展》2019,(4):356-365

针对Noah-MP模型多参数化方案、模拟结果不确定性范围难以确定的特点,选取北疆地区具有代表性的阿勒泰站气象资料作为模型驱动数据,探讨了积雪对多参数化方案的敏感性。在不考虑模型参数和驱动数据不确定性的条件下,设计了集合数为13824的多参数化方案集合模拟试验。选用Natural selection方法对物理过程的敏感性进行分析,并在敏感性分析结果的基础上进一步讨论了模拟结果的不确定性。结果表明:积雪对地表热交换、雨雪分离、土壤温度底层边界条件和第一层积雪或土壤时间方案4个物理过程敏感;在不考虑驱动数据和模型参数不确定性的条件下,多参数化方案集合模拟试验中的不确定性主要来源于敏感物理过程。去除敏感物理过程中能够明显降低模拟性能的参数化方案后,集合模拟结果的不确定性大幅减小。最后,根据分析结果构建了该站雪深和雪水当量模拟的最优参数化方案组合。  相似文献   

1961-2005年华东地区高温气候特征     

史军  汤绪  崔林丽 《地理学报(英文版)》2008,18(3)

Based on the daily maximum temperature data covering the period 1961-2005, temporal and spatial characteristics and their changing in mean annual and monthly high temperature days (HTDs) and the mean daily maximum temperature (MDMT) during annual and monthly HTDs in East China were studied. The results show that the mean annual HTDs were 15.1 and the MDMT during annual HTDs was 36.3℃ in the past 45 years. Both the mean annual HTDs and the MDMT during annual HTDs were negative anomaly in the1980s and positive anomaly in the other periods of time, oscillating with a cycle of about 12-15 years. The mean annual HTDs were more in the southern part, but less in the northern part of East China. The MDMT during annual HTDs was higher in Zhejiang, Anhui and Jiangxi provinces in the central and western parts of East China. The high temperature process (HTP) was more in the southwestern part, but less in northeastern part of East China. Both the HTDs and the numbers of HTP were at most in July, and the MDMT during monthly HTDs was also the highest in July. In the first 5 years of the 21st century, the mean annual HTDs and the MDMT during annual HTDs increased at most of the stations, both the mean monthly HTDs and the MDMT during monthly HTDs were positive anomalies from April to October, the number of each type of HTP generally was at most and the MDMT in each type of HTP was also the highest.  相似文献   

Spatial and temporal variations of sedimented organic matter in Xiaohai Lagoon, Hainan Island   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

LIU Xingjian  GE Chendong 《海洋学报(英文版)》2012,31(3):74-86

The characteristics of grain-size,total organic carbon(TOC) and total nitrogen(TN) contents,TOC/TN ratios,stable carbon isotope(δ13C) and 210 Pb dating were measured in six sediment cores from the Xiaohai Lagoon.The results show distinct spatial and temporal variations in sedimentation patterns.The sediments are dominated by clayey silt,sandy silt and by silty sand in the southern,middle lagoon and the northern lagoon,respectively.TOC and TN contents decline from south to north.Sedimentation rates,determined by 210 Pb dating,tend to decrease from south to middle.However,the determination of sedimentation rate in the north is difficult.These spatial variations are related to the variations in sediment sources and hydrodynamic conditions in the Xiaohai Lagoon.The variations of organic matter signatures can be divided into two stages in the cores from the southern and middle lagoon.Before 1988,the organic matter signatures are relatively stable.The contribution of terrestrial organic carbon sources varies between 60% and 85%.After 1988,the organic matter signatures demonstrate significant variations.TOC and TN contents increase rapidly,TOC/TN ratios decrease,δ13C values shift to higher and the contribution of terrestrial organic carbon sources decreases to 40%-50%.The contributions of phytoplankton organic matter have increased in the sediment since 1988.Increasing aquaculture activities have had a significant impact on organic matter signatures since 1988.The sedimentation rates have increased rapidly in the southern and middle lagoon since 1988 due to the anthropogenic activities which include aquaculture,mining and deforestation.These activities have caused eutrophication and increased siltation in the southern and middle lagoon.  相似文献   

几种岩石强度准则的对比分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

石祥超  孟英峰  李皋 《岩土力学》2011,32(Z1):209-216

采用常规三轴试验数据,以最小平均拟合差为评价指标定量地对比分析5种强度准则描述岩石非线性强度特征的适用性。结果表明：直线型Mohr-Coulomb准则不能描述岩石强度的非线性特征;抛物线型Mohr-Coulomb虽能描述岩石强度的非线性特征,但拟合误差较大,计算所得强度参数与事实不符,不宜使用;对于中低围压（ ）下岩石强度的非线性特征,单参数Bieniawski准则拟合精度与Hoek-Brown准则相当或稍好,拟合精度接近于指数强度准则,均优于双参数Bieniawski准则;在高围压下岩石强度非线性特征较为显著,应用单参数Bieniawski 准则或Hoek-Brown准则描述误差较大,三参数Bieniawski准则和指数强度准则拟合误差较小,可用于评价深部或特深部高应力状态下岩石的强度特征。  相似文献   

抗震设防地区评定地震烈度的平均震害指数法     

夏珊  刘爱文 《地震学报》2009,31(1):92-99

在我国烈度表中提到的房屋指的是未经过抗震设计或加固的单层或数层的砖混和砖木房屋．但是随着我国经济的发展,这类房屋的数量在逐渐减少,能够根据抗震设防房屋的破坏情况进行烈度评定对目前的地震现场工作具有重要意义．本文通过震害矩阵和平均震害指数的关系,尝试利用框架结构和砖混结构的震害矩阵得到设防烈度——震害指数的拟合关系,建立不同抗震设防水准的框架结构和砖混结构的烈度评定标准,并利用近年来9次中国大陆地震的烈度评定结果对该评定标准进行验证．本文评定的结果与这些地震现场评定结果基本一致．本研究结果可作为在我国抗震设防地区利用多种结构形式的建筑物破坏情况进行烈度评定的依据   相似文献